Not to decide is to decide.
~ Harvey Cox ~
I have a decision to make. A very expensive decision. You see, it is not just that I have to decide whether or not to spend a lot of money. That's only one angle on the issue.
The issue is this: No matter what I do, it is going to be expensive.
Does that change your perspective at all?
Here are the options so far in order of least to greatest monetary cost:
1) Do nothing. I realize that doesn't sound expensive. However, what it does is delay the inevitable. The probability that I will have to do something expensive eventually is very high. The probability that the problem will go away is...about as good as my chances of winning the lottery. Also, in the short term, there is the price to be paid in intangibles--not money.
2) Pay something now to get more information that may increase the odds of a making a better decision--or not. This doesn't solve the problem. Just informs the decision making process.
3) If I opt to do #2, then I might be able to decide at that time to take the next step. On one hand that sounds wise--like a "no duh" kind of decision. However, even if I get the information that says the next step is feasible, there is a 50-50 chance that it will work and I might have to go for the most expensive anyway. However, "the next step" could buy me some time before making that decision. It could work.
4) Or I can opt for the whole enchilada up front and save the expense of #2 and/or #3. This is a more drastic choice whose inevitability will occur eventually if I choose #1 and maybe if sooner if I choose #2 or maybe later if #3 is even an option.
You see...whatever I do is a gamble. I just don't know which is the greatest gamble or which is the most expensive when human and monetary costs are tallied up.
I know you don't know what I am talking about and you really can't even give me any advice. I accept that.
But tell me anyway...what would you do?